NORTHERN SHENANDOAH VALLEY:

PREPARE FOR VERY COLD TEMPERATURES MONDAY NIGHT. TUESDAY WILL BE WARM AND DRY, CLOSE TO 50.

Wednesday, February 29, 2012

Flood Watch Until 3 AM Thursday

A flood watch is out until 3 AM Thursday. The steady rain should return for a few hours this evening and this could drop a quick inch of rainfall before it all exits. There could be some localized areas of up to two inches, especially in any places that see heavier thundershowers. There are also some Tornado Watches farther off to our south & west, a sure sign that spring is on the way.

Tomorrow we will clear out, and with gusty winds, we should reach close to 60 degrees. Friday the winds die down in advance of our next system. Clouds will build in later in the day. Friday night into Saturday morning looks showery, but the rest of the weekend looks salvageable. We should see a quick shot of cold air early next week before the temperatures moderate again by mid-week. I'll continue to watch for a chance of snow showers Sunday night into Monday morning but it doesn't look to be too significant. I still don't see any signs of a return to a wintry pattern around here. Remember that tomorrow, being March 1st, marks the first day of meteorological spring.

Interestingly enough, had today not have been Leap Day and we were already in March, as it would be in a regular year, the tornadoes that have hit the Midwest & South would go down in any record books as taking place in spring. However, they show up on Feb. 29 and they fall in the climatological and meteorological worlds as being very late winter. Doesn't seem like a significant difference outside of the meteorological community, but it sure matters in terms of what month these events take place in, and also in what season, especially when comparing what took place today to what is considered average for the month or season.

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